Language:English
VfL Osnabrück v SSV Ulm 1846
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Prediction 63.55%1.57fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.55%63.70%63.11%65.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.451.5373.53%68.65%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit)
Prediction 15.98%6.26fair odd
EV -0.148%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.028%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.86%15.97%16.19%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.435.306.2520.00%18.43%18.87%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.47%4.88fair odd
EV +0.324%
Edge +0.066%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.33%20.69%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.314.204.9026.67%23.23%23.81%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 63.55%; SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit): 15.98%; Draw: 20.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.324%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.947%E -0.153%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.324%E +0.066%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.77%EV -3.82%E -0.635%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.65%EV -1.11%E -0.230%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -2.75%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 00:22 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 07:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.33%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -0.148%E -0.024%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.22%E -4.94%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.04%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-08 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -2.77%E -1.81%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -23.22%E -6.19%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |