A Escola das Odds

VfL Osnabrück v SSV Ulm 1846

Início: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: VfL Osnabrück 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Previsão 63.55%1.57odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.55%63.70%63.11%65.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.461.451.5373.53%68.65%68.97%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)

Previsão 15.98%6.26odd justa
EV -0.148%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.86%15.97%16.19%18.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.435.306.2520.00%18.43%18.87%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.47%4.88odd justa
EV +0.324%
Vantagem +0.066%
Kelly +0.083%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%20.33%20.69%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.314.204.9026.67%23.23%23.81%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.947%E -0.153%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.324%E +0.066%K +0.083%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 12:45
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.77%EV -3.82%E -0.635%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.65%EV -1.11%E -0.230%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:24
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -2.75%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 07:45
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 12:04
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:05
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 14:25
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 00:22
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 07:51
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.33%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 16:55
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 14:25
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 14:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -0.148%E -0.024%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:59
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.22%E -4.94%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 00:24
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 18:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 14:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 22:09
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-05 14:24
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.04%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-08 05:10
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -2.77%E -1.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-05 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -23.22%E -6.19%K -8.44%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-05 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%4.5%2026-05-09 02:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%4.5%2026-05-09 02:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-05-09 02:24