L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v SSV Ulm 1846

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : VfL Osnabrück 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 63.55%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.55%63.70%63.11%65.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.461.451.5373.53%68.65%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.98%6.26cote équitable
EV -0.148%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.86%15.97%16.19%18.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.435.306.2520.00%18.43%18.87%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.47%4.88cote équitable
EV +0.324%
Avantage +0.066%
Kelly +0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.33%20.69%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.314.204.9026.67%23.23%23.81%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.947%E -0.153%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.324%E +0.066%K +0.083%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 12:45
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.77%EV -3.82%E -0.635%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.65%EV -1.11%E -0.230%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:24
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -2.75%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 07:45
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 12:04
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:05
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 14:25
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 00:22
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 07:51
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.33%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 16:55
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 14:25
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 14:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -0.148%E -0.024%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:59
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.22%E -4.94%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 00:24
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 18:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 14:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 12:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 22:09
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 22:50
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-05 14:24
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.04%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-08 05:10
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -2.77%E -1.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-05 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -23.22%E -6.19%K -8.44%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-05 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%4.5%2026-05-09 02:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%4.5%2026-05-09 02:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-05-09 02:24