La escuela de los momiosEspañol
VfL Osnabrück v SSV Ulm 1846
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Predicción 63.55%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.55%63.70%63.11%65.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.451.5373.53%68.65%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)
Predicción 15.98%6.26momio equitativo
EV -0.148%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.028%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.86%15.97%16.19%18.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.435.306.2520.00%18.43%18.87%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.47%4.88momio equitativo
EV +0.324%
Ventaja +0.066%
Kelly +0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%20.33%20.69%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.314.204.9026.67%23.23%23.81%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.947%E -0.153%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.324%E +0.066%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 12:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.77%EV -3.82%E -0.635%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.65%EV -1.11%E -0.230%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -2.75%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.74%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 12:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 00:22 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.12%E -6.38%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 07:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.33%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.48%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.93%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.85%E -5.42%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -0.148%E -0.024%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -7.22%E -4.94%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.53%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.76%E -6.87%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.14%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.14%E -0.690%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.49%E -5.90%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.13%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.04%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-08 05:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -2.77%E -1.81%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -11.03%E -7.88%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.12%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -13.57%E -9.98%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -20.12%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -23.22%E -6.19%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-05 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |