A Escola das Odds

VfB Stuttgart II v Erzgebirge Aue

Início: 2026-04-19 14:30 UTC

Final: VfB Stuttgart II 2–2 Erzgebirge Aue

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Previsão 52.37%1.91odd justa
EV -5.22%
Vantagem -2.88%
Kelly -6.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.07%52.48%52.45%56.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.731.8161.73%58.70%57.97%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)

Previsão 25.27%3.96odd justa
EV +7.42%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescimento +0.169%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.53%25.15%25.29%26.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.773.674.2531.25%26.50%27.21%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.36%4.47odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -0.735%
Kelly -0.956%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.22%22.38%22.26%25.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.974.104.3330.77%25.19%24.39%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -14.64%E -8.98%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV +7.42%E +1.75%K +2.28%G +0.169%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 13:45
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +1.10%E +0.275%K +0.366%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.88%E -5.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.59%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.63%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.79%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -11.50%E -6.81%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:17
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.98%E -6.46%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 14:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 14:25
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.41%E -5.44%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -13.07%E -7.87%K -19.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:15
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.18%E -0.735%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:10
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.84%E -4.45%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -27.33%E -8.41%K -12.15%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -23.98%E -7.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-19 14:23
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 50.99%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.61%EV -19.12%E -5.98%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:20