La escuela de los momiosEspañol
VfB Stuttgart II v Erzgebirge Aue
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfB Stuttgart II (Local)
Predicción 52.37%1.91momio equitativo
EV -5.22%
Ventaja -2.88%
Kelly -6.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.07%52.48%52.45%56.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.731.8161.73%58.70%57.97%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)
Predicción 25.27%3.96momio equitativo
EV +7.42%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.169%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%25.15%25.29%26.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.773.674.2531.25%26.50%27.21%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.36%4.47momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.735%
Kelly -0.956%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.22%22.38%22.26%25.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.974.104.3330.77%25.19%24.39%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -14.64%E -8.98%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV +7.42%E +1.75%K +2.28%G +0.169% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +1.10%E +0.275%K +0.366%G +0.004% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.88%E -5.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.59%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.63%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.79%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -11.50%E -6.81%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 14:17 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.98%E -6.46%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.41%E -5.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -13.07%E -7.87%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.18%E -0.735%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.84%E -4.45%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -27.33%E -8.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -23.98%E -7.05%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-19 14:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.99%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.61%EV -19.12%E -5.98%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |