Die Schule der Quoten

VfB Stuttgart II v Erzgebirge Aue

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-19 14:30 UTC

Endstand: VfB Stuttgart II 2–2 Erzgebirge Aue

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Heim)

Prognose 52.37%1.91faire Quote
EV -5.22%
Vorteil -2.88%
Kelly -6.44%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.07%52.48%52.45%56.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.701.731.8161.73%58.70%57.97%55.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.27%3.96faire Quote
EV +7.42%
Vorteil +1.75%
Kelly +2.28%
Wachstum +0.169%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.53%25.15%25.29%26.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.773.674.2531.25%26.50%27.21%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.36%4.47faire Quote
EV -3.18%
Vorteil -0.735%
Kelly -0.956%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.22%22.38%22.26%25.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.974.104.3330.77%25.19%24.39%23.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -14.64%E -8.98%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV +7.42%E +1.75%K +2.28%G +0.169%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 13:45
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -9.93%E -5.77%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +1.10%E +0.275%K +0.366%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.88%E -5.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.59%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.09%EV -3.63%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.79%E -3.81%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -11.50%E -6.81%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:17
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.98%E -6.46%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 14:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 14:25
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.41%E -5.44%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -13.07%E -7.87%K -19.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:15
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.18%E -0.735%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:10
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.84%E -4.45%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -15.17%E -9.36%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -27.33%E -8.41%K -12.15%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -23.98%E -7.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-19 14:23
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 50.99%EV -12.55%E -7.51%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.61%EV -19.12%E -5.98%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-19 14:20