Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse v Hansa Rostock

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 17.71%5.65fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.388%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%17.68%17.68%19.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.7522.22%20.15%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 61.25%1.63fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.18%61.35%62.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.20%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.05%21.14%20.96%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.84%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 17.71%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 61.25%; Draw: 21.04%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.59%E -0.470%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:39
Pinnacle🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.47%E -0.637%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -3.65%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:05
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.35%E -6.32%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.90%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:04
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Suprabets🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.67%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 16:08
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.23%E -0.703%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:04
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 16:10
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 17:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 15:34
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:19
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 16:10
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 16:10
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-04 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-04 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:40