La escuela de los momios

TSV Havelse v Hansa Rostock

Inicio: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Predicción 17.71%5.65momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.320%
Kelly +0.388%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%17.68%17.68%19.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.965.005.7522.22%20.15%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Predicción 61.25%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -7.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%61.18%61.35%62.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.20%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.04%4.75momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.703%
Kelly -0.898%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.05%21.14%20.96%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.84%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:09
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.59%E -0.470%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:39
Pinnacle5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.47%E -0.637%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -3.65%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:05
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.35%E -6.32%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.90%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:04
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Suprabets5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.67%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 16:08
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.23%E -0.703%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:04
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 16:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 17:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:10
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 15:34
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:19
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 16:10
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 16:10
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-04 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-04 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:40