L’École des cotes

TSV Havelse v Hansa Rostock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 17.71%5.65cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.320%
Kelly +0.388%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.67%17.68%17.68%19.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.965.005.7522.22%20.15%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hansa Rostock (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.25%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -7.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%61.18%61.35%62.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.20%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.04%4.75cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.05%21.14%20.96%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.84%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:09
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.59%E -0.470%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:39
Pinnacle5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.47%E -0.637%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -3.65%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:05
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.35%E -6.32%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.90%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:04
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Suprabets5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.67%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 16:08
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.23%E -0.703%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:04
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 16:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 17:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:10
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 15:34
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:19
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 16:10
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 16:10
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-04 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-04 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:40