A Escola das Odds

TSV Havelse v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Previsão 17.71%5.65odd justa
EV +1.84%
Vantagem +0.320%
Kelly +0.388%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.67%17.68%17.68%19.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.965.005.7522.22%20.15%20.00%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 61.25%1.63odd justa
EV -4.45%
Vantagem -2.85%
Kelly -7.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%61.18%61.35%62.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.511.501.5671.43%66.20%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.04%4.75odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -0.703%
Kelly -0.898%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.05%21.14%20.96%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.84%23.81%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.84%E +0.320%K +0.388%G +0.007%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -4.28%E -0.942%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:09
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.59%E -0.470%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:39
Pinnacle5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.47%E -0.637%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -3.65%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:05
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.35%E -6.32%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.90%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:04
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.78%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 15:05
Suprabets5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.67%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 16:08
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.34%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.23%E -0.703%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 15:04
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 16:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -8.73%E -5.86%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:40
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 17:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:10
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 16:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 15:34
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:20
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.98%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 14:19
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 17:20
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 16:10
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 16:10
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.80%E -8.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-04 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.30%E -4.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -14.25%E -10.18%K -35.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -24.27%E -6.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-04 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-03-04 17:40