Language:English
TSV Havelse v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Havelse (Local)
Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -0.061%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.69%23.80%25.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.654.2028.57%26.90%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 51.94%1.93fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%52.04%51.95%54.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.801.8360.61%56.29%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.27%24.25%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.673.654.0532.26%27.22%27.40%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 23.79%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 51.94%; Draw: 24.27%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.203. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.200, with an expected value of -0.061%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.061%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -3.87%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -1.72%E -0.425%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.15%E -5.86%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -13.78%E -8.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.30%E -8.67%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |