A Escola das Odds

TSV Havelse v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Início: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Previsão 23.79%4.20odd justa
EV -0.061%
Vantagem -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.26%23.69%23.80%25.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.723.654.2028.57%26.90%27.40%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)

Previsão 51.94%1.93odd justa
EV -4.95%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.61%52.04%51.95%54.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.781.801.8360.61%56.29%55.56%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.27%4.12odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.425%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.19%24.27%24.25%26.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.673.654.0532.26%27.22%27.40%24.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.061%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:10
Pinnacle4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -3.87%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -1.72%E -0.425%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:04
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:49
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.15%E -5.86%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 12:40
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:24
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -13.78%E -8.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 12:10
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.30%E -8.67%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-14 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.80%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55