L’École des cotes

TSV Havelse v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -0.061%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%23.69%23.80%25.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.723.654.2028.57%26.90%27.40%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.94%1.93cote équitable
EV -4.95%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.61%52.04%51.95%54.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.801.8360.61%56.29%55.56%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.27%24.25%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.673.654.0532.26%27.22%27.40%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.061%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:10
Pinnacle4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -3.87%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -1.72%E -0.425%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:04
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:49
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.15%E -5.86%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 12:05
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 12:40
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:24
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:05
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -13.78%E -8.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 12:10
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.30%E -8.67%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-14 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.80%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-14 12:55