La escuela de los momiosEspañol
TSV Havelse v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSV Havelse (Local)
Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV -0.061%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.26%23.69%23.80%25.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.723.654.2028.57%26.90%27.40%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)
Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.95%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.61%52.04%51.95%54.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.781.801.8360.61%56.29%55.56%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.27%24.25%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.654.0532.26%27.22%27.40%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.061%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Pinnacle | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -3.87%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -1.72%E -0.425%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Suprabets | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -10.67%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:49 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.15%E -5.86%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:24 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -13.78%E -8.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -11.70%E -6.88%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.53%EV -14.30%E -8.67%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |