Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV 1860 München v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%47.13%47.25%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.912.0555.56%52.00%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.66%26.52%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.453.7132.26%29.42%28.99%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.21%26.23%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.00%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV 1860 München (Local): 47.14%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 26.65%; Draw: 26.20%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.71, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:09
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.70%E -4.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.38%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Suprabets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:07
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.40%E -7.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -15.14%E -8.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -18.78%E -6.06%K -8.94%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 15:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-14 15:25