A Escola das Odds

TSV 1860 München v Wehen Wiesbaden

Início: 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Previsão 47.14%2.12odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.38%47.13%47.25%49.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.912.0555.56%52.00%52.36%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)

Previsão 26.65%3.75odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.66%26.52%27.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.403.453.7132.26%29.42%28.99%26.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.20%3.82odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -0.826%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.21%26.23%27.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.00%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:09
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 15:25
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 15:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.70%E -4.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.38%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:07
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 15:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.40%E -7.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 15:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -15.14%E -8.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -18.78%E -6.06%K -8.94%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 15:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-14 15:25