L’École des cotes

TSV 1860 München v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prévision 47.14%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.38%47.13%47.25%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.912.0555.56%52.00%52.36%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.66%26.52%27.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.453.7132.26%29.42%28.99%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.21%26.23%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.00%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:09
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 06:29
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 15:25
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 15:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.70%E -4.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.38%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:07
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:00
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 15:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 15:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-09 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.40%E -7.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 15:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -15.14%E -8.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -18.78%E -6.06%K -8.94%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 15:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-14 15:25