La escuela de los momiosEspañol
TSV 1860 München v Wehen Wiesbaden
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSV 1860 München (Local)
Predicción 47.14%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.38%47.13%47.25%49.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.912.0555.56%52.00%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)
Predicción 26.65%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.66%26.52%27.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.453.7132.26%29.42%28.99%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.21%26.23%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.00%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 13:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.70%E -4.60%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.38%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.43%E -5.49%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 25.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.37%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-09 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.40%E -7.13%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -15.14%E -8.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -17.37%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -18.78%E -6.06%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-14 15:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |