Language:English
TSG Hoffenheim II v SC Fortuna Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prediction 46.57%2.15fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.15%46.71%46.45%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0855.56%51.37%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)
Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV +0.464%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%27.02%27.22%28.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.7033.33%30.13%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.529%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%26.27%26.33%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.453.7531.25%29.00%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 46.57%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 27.15%; Draw: 26.28%. For SC Fortuna Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.464%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.52%E -6.06%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.464%E +0.125%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.34%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -11.18%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.05%EV -11.70%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -13.85%E -7.49%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 17:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-13 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |