Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

TSG Hoffenheim II v SC Fortuna Köln

Inizio: 2026-09-13 17:30 UTC

Finale: TSG Hoffenheim II 2–2 SC Fortuna Köln

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

TSG Hoffenheim II (Casa)

Previsione 46.57%2.15quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.15%46.71%46.45%49.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.951.952.0855.56%51.37%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.15%3.68quota equa
EV +0.464%
Vantaggio +0.125%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.33%27.02%27.22%28.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.323.303.7033.33%30.13%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.28%3.81quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.388%
Kelly -0.529%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.21%26.27%26.33%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.453.453.7531.25%29.00%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: TSG Hoffenheim II (Casa): 46.57%; SC Fortuna Köln (Trasferta): 27.15%; Pareggio: 26.28%. Per SC Fortuna Köln (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.68. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.464%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.52%E -6.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.464%E +0.125%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 17:21
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.34%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:21
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -11.18%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.05%EV -11.70%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -13.85%E -7.49%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 17:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:46
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 17:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-13 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-13 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25