Langue:Français
TSG Hoffenheim II v SC Fortuna Köln
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prévision 46.57%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.15%46.71%46.45%49.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.951.952.0855.56%51.37%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.464%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%27.02%27.22%28.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.7033.33%30.13%30.30%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.28%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%26.27%26.33%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.453.7531.25%29.00%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TSG Hoffenheim II (Local) : 46.57% ; SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur) : 27.15% ; Match nul : 26.28%. Pour SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.464%.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.52%E -6.06%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.464%E +0.125%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.34%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -11.18%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.05%EV -11.70%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -13.85%E -7.49%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 17:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-13 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |