StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

TSG Hoffenheim II v SC Fortuna Köln

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 17:30 UTC

Slutresultat: TSG Hoffenheim II 2–2 SC Fortuna Köln

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

TSG Hoffenheim II (Hemma)

Prognos 46.57%2.15rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -2.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.15%46.71%46.45%49.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.951.952.0855.56%51.37%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Borta)

Prognos 27.15%3.68rättvist odds
EV +0.464%
Fördel +0.125%
Kelly +0.172%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.33%27.02%27.22%28.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.323.303.7033.33%30.13%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.28%3.81rättvist odds
EV -1.46%
Fördel -0.388%
Kelly -0.529%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.21%26.27%26.33%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.453.453.7531.25%29.00%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: TSG Hoffenheim II (Hemma): 46.57%; SC Fortuna Köln (Borta): 27.15%; Oavgjort: 26.28%. För SC Fortuna Köln (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.68. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.464%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.52%E -6.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.464%E +0.125%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 17:21
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.34%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:21
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -11.18%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.05%EV -11.70%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -13.85%E -7.49%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 17:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 16:46
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 17:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -10.12%E -5.24%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.05%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-13 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-13 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -16.18%E -8.99%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%20.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-09-13 17:25