Language:English
TSG Hoffenheim II v Jahn Regensburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.79%33.78%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.652.9040.82%38.01%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visit)
Prediction 40.17%2.49fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%40.27%40.26%42.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.292.3848.78%44.34%43.67%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.94%25.96%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.40%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 33.78%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 40.17%; Draw: 26.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.02%E -0.698%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -12.23%E -3.63%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 14:12 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-26 14:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.04%E -0.273%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.34%E -0.623%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.08%EV -12.43%E -5.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.63%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.64%E -7.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |