Idioma:Español
TSG Hoffenheim II v Jahn Regensburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Predicción 33.78%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%33.79%33.78%35.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.652.9040.82%38.01%37.74%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)
Predicción 40.17%2.49momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.84%40.27%40.26%42.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.292.3848.78%44.34%43.67%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.04%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.370%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.42%25.94%25.96%27.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.40%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 33.78%; Jahn Regensburg (Visitante): 40.17%; Empate: 26.04%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.80, con un valor esperado de -1.04%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.02%E -0.698%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -12.23%E -3.63%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 14:12 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-26 14:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.04%E -0.273%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.34%E -0.623%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.08%EV -12.43%E -5.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.63%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.64%E -7.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |