Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSG Hoffenheim II v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC

Score final : TSG Hoffenheim II 5–1 Jahn Regensburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Prévision 33.78%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%33.79%33.78%35.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.652.9040.82%38.01%37.74%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.17%2.49cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.84%40.27%40.26%42.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.262.292.3848.78%44.34%43.67%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.04%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.370%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.42%25.94%25.96%27.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.40%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TSG Hoffenheim II (Local) : 33.78% ; Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur) : 40.17% ; Match nul : 26.04%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.84. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.80, pour une espérance de -1.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.02%E -0.698%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 14:10
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -12.23%E -3.63%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 14:12
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 14:32
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.04%E -0.273%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 06:30
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.34%E -0.623%K -0.850%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 13:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.08%EV -12.43%E -5.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.63%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.64%E -7.45%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-29 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61%1.4%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61%1.4%2026-08-29 14:25