默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim II v Jahn Regensburg

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC

最终结果: TSG Hoffenheim II 5–1 Jahn Regensburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim II (主队)

预测 33.78%2.96公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -0.698%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
32.24%33.79%33.78%35.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.632.652.9040.82%38.01%37.74%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jahn Regensburg (客队)

预测 40.17%2.49公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -3.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
38.84%40.27%40.26%42.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.262.292.3848.78%44.34%43.67%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.04%3.84公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.273%
Kelly -0.370%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.42%25.94%25.96%27.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.40%28.17%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TSG Hoffenheim II (主队):33.78%;Jahn Regensburg (客队):40.17%;平局:26.04%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.80,期望值为-1.04%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.02%E -0.698%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.20%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.04%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 14:10
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.91%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -12.23%E -3.63%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 14:12
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 14:32
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.04%E -0.273%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 06:30
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -2.34%E -0.623%K -0.850%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 14:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 13:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.08%EV -12.43%E -5.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.63%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.54%E -6.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.64%E -7.45%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-29 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.23%E -7.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.65%E -8.61%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 14:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61%1.4%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61%1.4%2026-08-29 14:25