Language:English
SSV Ulm 1846 v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prediction 58.47%1.71fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%58.44%58.41%60.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.581.6866.67%62.81%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 20.10%4.97fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.88%20.12%20.08%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.334.8025.00%22.93%23.09%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.42%4.67fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.315%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.44%21.51%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.064.004.6029.41%24.60%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Ulm 1846 (Local): 58.47%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 20.10%; Draw: 21.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -2.52%E -0.554%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.45%E -0.315%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.59%E -0.798%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -11.71%E -7.75%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -27.16%E -7.99%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -25.01%E -7.15%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-18 14:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |