A Escola das Odds

SSV Ulm 1846 v TSV Havelse

Início: 2026-04-18 14:30 UTC

Final: SSV Ulm 1846 2–1 TSV Havelse

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Previsão 58.47%1.71odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.48%58.44%58.41%60.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.581.6866.67%62.81%63.29%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Previsão 20.10%4.97odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -0.729%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.88%20.12%20.08%22.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.364.334.8025.00%22.93%23.09%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.42%4.67odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.402%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.28%21.44%21.51%24.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.064.004.6029.41%24.60%25.00%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:49
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:24
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -2.52%E -0.554%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:15
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.45%E -0.315%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:15
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:15
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.59%E -0.798%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:14
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:25
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -11.71%E -7.75%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:15
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 14:15
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -27.16%E -7.99%K -11.32%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-18 14:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -25.01%E -7.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-18 14:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25