L’École des cotes

SSV Ulm 1846 v TSV Havelse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:30 UTC

Score final : SSV Ulm 1846 2–1 TSV Havelse

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Prévision 58.47%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.48%58.44%58.41%60.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.581.6866.67%62.81%63.29%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSV Havelse (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.10%4.97cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -0.729%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.88%20.12%20.08%22.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.364.334.8025.00%22.93%23.09%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.42%4.67cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.402%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.44%21.51%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.064.004.6029.41%24.60%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:49
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:24
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -2.52%E -0.554%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:15
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.45%E -0.315%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:15
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:15
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.59%E -0.798%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:14
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:25
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -11.71%E -7.75%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:15
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 14:15
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -27.16%E -7.99%K -11.32%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-18 14:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -25.01%E -7.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-18 14:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.3%2026-04-18 14:25