La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SSV Ulm 1846 v TSV Havelse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Predicción 58.47%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.48%58.44%58.41%60.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.581.6866.67%62.81%63.29%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV Havelse (Visitante)
Predicción 20.10%4.97momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -0.921%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.88%20.12%20.08%22.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.364.334.8025.00%22.93%23.09%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.42%4.67momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%21.44%21.51%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.064.004.6029.41%24.60%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -2.52%E -0.554%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -6.52%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -7.62%E -4.82%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.16%E -2.97%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.45%E -0.315%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.59%E -0.798%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -11.71%E -7.75%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.30%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -16.44%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -15.56%E -3.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -27.16%E -7.99%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.29%E -8.20%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -25.01%E -7.15%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-18 14:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |