Language:English
SSV Ulm 1846 v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.548%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.26%21.93%21.78%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.284.304.7026.32%23.39%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 57.21%1.75fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%57.09%57.02%59.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.571.6868.03%63.42%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.97%4.77fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%20.98%21.20%23.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.234.204.7728.57%23.64%23.81%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Ulm 1846 (Local): 21.83%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 57.21%; Draw: 20.97%. For SSV Ulm 1846 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -11.90%E -7.73%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -1.79%E -0.397%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -9.61%E -6.08%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -15.90%E -10.82%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.52%E -2.57%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -0.412%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -26.62%E -7.61%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.97%E -4.15%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.93%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.55%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -22.43%E -6.06%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-16 11:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |