L’École des cotesSSV Ulm 1846 v Rot-Weiss Essen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prévision 21.83%4.58cote équitable
EV +2.58%
Avantage +0.548%
Kelly +0.697%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.26%21.93%21.78%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.284.304.7026.32%23.39%23.26%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.21%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.85%57.09%57.02%59.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.581.571.6868.03%63.42%63.69%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.97%4.77cote équitable
EV +0.007%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.74%20.98%21.20%23.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.234.204.7728.57%23.64%23.81%20.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -11.90%E -7.73%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -1.79%E -0.397%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -9.61%E -6.08%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -15.90%E -10.82%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.52%E -2.57%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -0.412%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -26.62%E -7.61%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.97%E -4.15%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.93%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.55%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -22.43%E -6.06%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-16 11:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |