A Escola das Odds

SSV Ulm 1846 v Rot-Weiss Essen

Início: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Final: SSV Ulm 1846 2–3 Rot-Weiss Essen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Previsão 21.83%4.58odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.548%
Kelly +0.697%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.26%21.93%21.78%23.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.284.304.7026.32%23.39%23.26%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante)

Previsão 57.21%1.75odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -5.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.85%57.09%57.02%59.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.581.571.6868.03%63.42%63.69%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.97%4.77odd justa
EV +0.007%
Vantagem +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.74%20.98%21.20%23.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.234.204.7728.57%23.64%23.81%20.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -11.90%E -7.73%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 16:35
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:35
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -1.79%E -0.397%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -9.61%E -6.08%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Pinnacle4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:10
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 11:15
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Suprabets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:06
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:24
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:25
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -15.90%E -10.82%K -33.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 11:15
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:25
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:24
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.52%E -2.57%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -0.412%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:25
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -26.62%E -7.61%K -10.65%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-16 11:15
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:24
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.97%E -4.15%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 21.93%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.55%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -22.43%E -6.06%K -8.31%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-16 11:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-16 11:25