La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SSV Ulm 1846 v Rot-Weiss Essen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Predicción 21.83%4.58momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.697%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.26%21.93%21.78%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.284.304.7026.32%23.39%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante)
Predicción 57.21%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.85%57.09%57.02%59.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.581.571.6868.03%63.42%63.69%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.97%4.77momio equitativo
EV +0.007%
Ventaja +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%20.98%21.20%23.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.234.204.7728.57%23.64%23.81%20.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -11.90%E -7.73%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV +2.58%E +0.548%K +0.697%G +0.018% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -1.79%E -0.397%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -9.61%E -6.08%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -12.47%E -8.15%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -3.97%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.15%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -10.18%E -6.49%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -8.33%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.82%EV -15.90%E -10.82%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -9.43%E -2.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.52%E -2.57%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -0.412%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -12.70%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -26.62%E -7.61%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.79%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.88%E -3.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.97%E -4.15%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.93%EV -17.06%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.55%EV -14.19%E -9.46%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -22.43%E -6.06%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-16 11:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |