Language:English
SSV Ulm 1846 v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%30.91%30.76%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.013.003.1638.17%33.20%33.33%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)
Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.24%41.94%42.10%45.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.112.102.3352.36%47.37%47.62%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%27.14%27.14%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.33%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Ulm 1846 (Local): 30.75%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 42.08%; Draw: 27.17%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.16%E -6.94%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-20 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-20 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-20 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.96%EV -1.96%E -0.842%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -2.18%E -0.606%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-20 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-21 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -19.63%E -10.28%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.74%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-02-20 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.36%E -4.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.11%EV -12.97%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -19.43%E -7.42%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |