La escuela de los momios

SSV Ulm 1846 v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.51%30.91%30.76%32.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.623.013.003.1638.17%33.20%33.33%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)

Predicción 42.08%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.842%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.24%41.94%42.10%45.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.112.102.3352.36%47.37%47.62%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.606%
Kelly -0.838%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.68%27.14%27.14%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.33%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.16%E -6.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:20
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 08:20
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.96%EV -1.96%E -0.842%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -2.18%E -0.606%K -0.838%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:20
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:14
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-20 08:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -19.63%E -10.28%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.74%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-20 15:35
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.36%E -4.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:05
Suprabets2.83I 35.34%NM 32.11%EV -12.97%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:06
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -19.43%E -7.42%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 15:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05