A Escola das Odds

SSV Ulm 1846 v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Início: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Previsão 30.75%3.25odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.895%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.51%30.91%30.76%32.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.623.013.003.1638.17%33.20%33.33%31.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)

Previsão 42.08%2.38odd justa
EV -1.96%
Vantagem -0.842%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.24%41.94%42.10%45.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.112.102.3352.36%47.37%47.62%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.17%3.68odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -0.606%
Kelly -0.838%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.68%27.14%27.14%28.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.33%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.16%E -6.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:20
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 08:20
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.96%EV -1.96%E -0.842%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -2.18%E -0.606%K -0.838%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:20
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:14
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-20 08:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -19.63%E -10.28%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.74%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-20 15:35
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.36%E -4.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:05
Suprabets2.83I 35.34%NM 32.11%EV -12.97%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:06
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -19.43%E -7.42%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05