Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SSV Ulm 1846 v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.895%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.51%30.91%30.76%32.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.623.013.003.1638.17%33.20%33.33%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.24%41.94%42.10%45.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.112.102.3352.36%47.37%47.62%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.17%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.606%
Kelly -0.838%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.68%27.14%27.14%28.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.33%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SSV Ulm 1846 (Local) : 30.75% ; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur) : 42.08% ; Match nul : 27.17%. Pour 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.38. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.33, pour une espérance de -1.96% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.83%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.16%E -6.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-20 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:20
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 08:20
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.96%EV -1.96%E -0.842%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -2.18%E -0.606%K -0.838%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:20
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:14
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:09
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-20 08:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -19.63%E -10.28%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.74%E -7.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-20 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.36%E -4.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:05
Suprabets🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.11%EV -12.97%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:06
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -19.43%E -7.42%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-02-21 15:05