Language:English
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v TSG Hoffenheim II
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)
Prediction 37.44%2.67fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.72%37.53%37.48%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.6045.45%42.01%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit)
Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV +4.25%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.94%37.02%37.23%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.452.8045.45%40.03%40.82%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.422%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.45%25.30%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.503.9031.25%28.39%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 37.44%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit): 37.23%; Draw: 25.33%. For TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -12.02%E -5.11%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV +4.25%E +1.52%K +2.36%G +0.100% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.19%EV -0.962%E -0.362%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -9.33%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -17.63%E -8.01%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.66%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.22%E -0.314%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.80%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -1.73%E -0.446%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-06 14:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -17.69%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.52%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.37%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |