StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v TSG Hoffenheim II

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim II

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Hemma)

Prognos 37.44%2.67rättvist odds
EV -2.66%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.72%37.53%37.48%40.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.382.382.6045.45%42.01%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta)

Prognos 37.23%2.69rättvist odds
EV +4.25%
Fördel +1.52%
Kelly +2.36%
Tillväxt +0.100%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.94%37.02%37.23%38.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.502.452.8045.45%40.03%40.82%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.33%3.95rättvist odds
EV -1.22%
Fördel -0.314%
Kelly -0.422%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.90%25.45%25.30%27.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.523.503.9031.25%28.39%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Hemma): 37.44%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta): 37.23%; Oavgjort: 25.33%. För TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.69. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -12.02%E -5.11%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV +4.25%E +1.52%K +2.36%G +0.100%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.19%EV -0.962%E -0.362%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -9.33%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -17.63%E -8.01%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.66%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.22%E -0.314%K -0.422%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 14:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.80%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -1.73%E -0.446%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:19
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-06 14:23
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -17.69%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.52%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.37%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-06 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%2.5%2026-09-06 14:25