Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v TSG Hoffenheim II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 14:30 UTC

Score final : SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim II

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prévision 37.44%2.67cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.72%37.53%37.48%40.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.6045.45%42.01%42.02%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.23%2.69cote équitable
EV +4.25%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.94%37.02%37.23%38.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.502.452.8045.45%40.03%40.82%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.422%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%25.45%25.30%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.503.9031.25%28.39%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local) : 37.44% ; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur) : 37.23% ; Match nul : 25.33%. Pour TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.69. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +4.25%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -12.02%E -5.11%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV +4.25%E +1.52%K +2.36%G +0.100%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.19%EV -0.962%E -0.362%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -9.33%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -17.63%E -8.01%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.66%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.22%E -0.314%K -0.422%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 14:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.80%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -1.73%E -0.446%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:19
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-06 14:23
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -17.69%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.52%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.37%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-06 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%2.5%2026-09-06 14:25