默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v TSG Hoffenheim II

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 14:30 UTC

最终结果: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim II

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (主队)

预测 37.44%2.67公平赔率
EV -2.66%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
35.72%37.53%37.48%40.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.382.382.6045.45%42.01%42.02%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSG Hoffenheim II (客队)

预测 37.23%2.69公平赔率
EV +4.25%
优势 +1.52%
Kelly +2.36%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.94%37.02%37.23%38.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.502.452.8045.45%40.03%40.82%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.33%3.95公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.314%
Kelly -0.422%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.90%25.45%25.30%27.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.523.503.9031.25%28.39%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (主队):37.44%;TSG Hoffenheim II (客队):37.23%;平局:25.33%。 对于“TSG Hoffenheim II (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.69。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.80,对应+4.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -12.02%E -5.11%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV +4.25%E +1.52%K +2.36%G +0.100%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV +0.528%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.19%EV -0.962%E -0.362%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -9.33%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -17.63%E -8.01%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.66%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.22%E -0.314%K -0.422%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.27%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.27%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 14:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.80%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -1.73%E -0.446%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:19
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-06 14:23
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -17.69%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 14:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.52%EV -15.76%E -7.00%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.37%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-06 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -13.89%E -6.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.09%E -8.22%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -18.95%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-06 14:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%2.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%2.5%2026-09-06 14:25