Language:English
SC Verl v SC Fortuna Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 49.53%2.02fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%49.44%49.48%51.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.821.9759.88%54.83%54.95%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%25.28%25.08%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.604.0230.77%27.92%27.78%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%25.28%25.44%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.47%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 49.53%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 25.13%; Draw: 25.34%. For SC Fortuna Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +1.00%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.74%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.34%E -5.72%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -13.81%E -7.94%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -13.32%E -7.61%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -15.30%E -8.95%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -17.28%E -10.35%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -15.83%E -4.73%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 11:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |