Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Verl v SC Fortuna Köln

Início: 2026-08-29 12:03 UTC

Final: SC Verl 1–2 SC Fortuna Köln

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Verl (Local)

Previsão 49.53%2.02odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.21%49.44%49.48%51.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.821.821.9759.88%54.83%54.95%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante)

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV +1.00%
Vantagem +0.250%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.64%25.28%25.08%27.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.583.604.0230.77%27.92%27.78%24.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.34%3.95odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.633%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.76%25.28%25.44%26.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.47%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Verl (Local): 49.53%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante): 25.13%; Empate: 25.34%. Para SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.98. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +1.00%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.74%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:55
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.34%E -5.72%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -13.81%E -7.94%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -13.32%E -7.61%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:51
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:56
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -15.30%E -8.95%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -17.28%E -10.35%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-29 11:51
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -15.83%E -4.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 11:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-08-29 11:56