Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Verl v SC Fortuna Köln

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 12:03 UTC

Score final : SC Verl 1–2 SC Fortuna Köln

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 49.53%2.02cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.21%49.44%49.48%51.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.821.9759.88%54.83%54.95%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.250%
Kelly +0.332%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.64%25.28%25.08%27.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.604.0230.77%27.92%27.78%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.855%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%25.28%25.44%26.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.47%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Verl (Local) : 49.53% ; SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur) : 25.13% ; Match nul : 25.34%. Pour SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.02, soit une espérance positive de +1.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +1.00%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.74%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:55
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.34%E -5.72%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -13.81%E -7.94%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -13.32%E -7.61%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:51
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:56
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -15.30%E -8.95%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -17.28%E -10.35%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-29 11:51
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -15.83%E -4.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-29 11:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-08-29 11:56