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SC Verl v SC Fortuna Köln
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Verl (Local)
Predicción 49.53%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.21%49.44%49.48%51.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.821.821.9759.88%54.83%54.95%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante)
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.250%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.64%25.28%25.08%27.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.604.0230.77%27.92%27.78%24.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%25.28%25.44%26.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.47%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SC Verl (Local): 49.53%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante): 25.13%; Empate: 25.34%. Para SC Fortuna Köln (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.98. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.02, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +1.00%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.74%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.34%E -5.72%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.73%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -13.81%E -7.94%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.84%E -6.02%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -13.32%E -7.61%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -15.30%E -8.95%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -17.28%E -10.35%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -3.70%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.31%E -8.27%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -15.83%E -4.73%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.06%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.34%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-08-29 11:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |