Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 72.92%1.37fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -5.21%
Kelly -23.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.58%72.79%72.89%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.251.251.2884.75%79.99%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 11.76%8.51fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.00%11.86%11.77%14.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.778.009.0016.67%12.86%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.33%6.52fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.39%15.35%15.33%17.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.745.606.5021.05%17.42%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 72.92%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 11.76%; Draw: 15.33%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.51. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -4.20%E -0.672%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 10.97%EV +0.509%E +0.060%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.18%EV -5.27%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -13.23%E -11.12%K -69.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.88%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.70%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -12.63%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.91%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -17.23%E -3.19%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.68%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -19.53%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -14.77%E -2.04%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -11.86%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 11:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 70.57%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.90%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.53%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -23.59%E -3.63%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-15 10:52 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -29.47%E -4.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |