Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rot-Weiss Essen v TSV Havelse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Score final : Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 TSV Havelse

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 72.92%1.37cote équitable
EV -6.67%
Avantage -5.21%
Kelly -23.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.58%72.79%72.89%75.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.251.251.2884.75%79.99%80.00%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.76%8.51cote équitable
EV +5.80%
Avantage +0.644%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.00%11.86%11.77%14.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.778.009.0016.67%12.86%12.50%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.33%6.52cote équitable
EV -0.366%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.39%15.35%15.33%17.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.745.606.5021.05%17.42%17.86%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rot-Weiss Essen (Local) : 72.92% ; TSV Havelse (Visiteur) : 11.76% ; Match nul : 15.33%. Pour TSV Havelse (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.51. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -4.20%E -0.672%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 10.97%EV +0.509%E +0.060%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.18%EV -5.27%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -13.23%E -11.12%K -69.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.88%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.70%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -12.63%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.91%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:53
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -17.23%E -3.19%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.68%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -19.53%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 10:24
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -14.77%E -2.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -11.86%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:59
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 70.57%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.90%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.53%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -23.59%E -3.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-15 10:52
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -29.47%E -4.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:55