默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen v TSV Havelse

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

最终结果: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 TSV Havelse

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)

预测 72.92%1.37公平赔率
EV -6.67%
优势 -5.21%
Kelly -23.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
69.58%72.79%72.89%75.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.251.251.2884.75%79.99%80.00%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Havelse (客队)

预测 11.76%8.51公平赔率
EV +5.80%
优势 +0.644%
Kelly +0.725%
增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.00%11.86%11.77%14.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.778.009.0016.67%12.86%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.33%6.52公平赔率
EV -0.366%
优势 -0.056%
Kelly -0.067%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.39%15.35%15.33%17.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.745.606.5021.05%17.42%17.86%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rot-Weiss Essen (主队):72.92%;TSV Havelse (客队):11.76%;平局:15.33%。 对于“TSV Havelse (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.51。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+5.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -4.20%E -0.672%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 10.97%EV +0.509%E +0.060%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.18%EV -5.27%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -13.23%E -11.12%K -69.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.88%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.70%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -12.63%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.91%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:53
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -17.23%E -3.19%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.68%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -19.53%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 10:24
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -14.77%E -2.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -11.86%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:59
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 70.57%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.90%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.53%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -23.59%E -3.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-15 10:52
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -29.47%E -4.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 10:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:55